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LATTICE SEMICONDUCTOR CORP (LSCC)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2025 revenue was $120.1M, non-GAAP gross margin 69.0%, and non-GAAP diluted EPS $0.22; adjusted EBITDA margin reached 33.4%, reflecting disciplined OpEx and resilient mix . Versus S&P Global consensus, revenue was essentially in line (120.1M vs 120.1M*) and EPS matched ($0.22 vs $0.22*). Values retrieved from S&P Global.
  • Management flagged “record level of design wins,” sequential revenue growth, and sustained margin leadership; Communications & Computing delivered its first YoY growth in two years, while Industrial & Automotive grew 6% sequentially .
  • Q2 2025 guidance implies steady sequential growth: revenue $118.5M–$128.5M, non-GAAP GM ~69% (+/−1%), OpEx $50.5M–$52.5M, and non-GAAP EPS $0.22–$0.26 (raised vs Q1 guidance) .
  • Stock-relevant catalysts: accelerating server AI content and attach in top-10 OEMs, expanding PQC security deployments, and continued new product mix shift (Nexus/Avant) targeting mid-20% growth in 2026; tempered by tariff uncertainty and a longer channel inventory normalization timeline .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • “First quarter of 2025 developed as expected, with sequential revenue growth, a record level of design wins, and a further expansion of our operating margins.” (CEO) .
  • Communications & Computing delivered first YoY growth in two years; Industrial & Automotive up 6% sequentially, supported by wireline and factory automation/robotics exposure (prepared remarks) .
  • New products revenue continues to grow at strong double-digit rates QoQ and YoY, with a path to “high teens” mix of new product revenue in FY25 (CEO prepared remarks) .

What Went Wrong

  • Client PC subsegment dragged Communications & Computing sequentially due to older platforms; server and wireline remained strong (Q&A) .
  • Channel inventory normalization will likely take “a couple of few quarters longer” than mid-year target; company continues to ship under consumption to reduce disti levels (CFO, Q&A) .
  • Tariffs pose indirect macro risk despite limited expected direct impact given supply chain localization and non-U.S. revenue mix; management remains cautious on 2H outlook (prepared remarks) .

Financial Results

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$127.1 $117.4 $120.1
GAAP Gross Margin %69.0% 61.1% 68.0%
Non-GAAP Gross Margin %69.0% 62.1% 69.0%
Non-GAAP Operating Margin %26.6% 17.1% 26.2%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin %33.7% (call) 24.8% 33.4%
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.05 $0.12 $0.04
Non-GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.24 $0.15 $0.22

Segment breakdown (Revenue $USD Millions):

End MarketQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Communications & Computing$61.0 $58.0 $57.4
Industrial & Automotive$54.2 $49.2 $52.2
Consumer$11.9 $10.2 $10.6

KPIs and mix:

KPIQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Distribution (%)95% 84% 79%
Direct (%)5% 16% 21%
Asia (%)63% 66% 65%
Americas (%)15% 23% 25%
Europe (%)22% 11% 10%
DSO (days)66 63 64
DIO (days)242 207 225

Consensus vs Actual (Q1 2025) – S&P Global:

MetricConsensusActualDelta
Revenue ($USD)$120.0847M*$120.1500M +$0.0653M*
EPS Normalized ($)$0.22083*$0.22 $0.00083*

Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueQ1 2025$115M–$125M
RevenueQ2 2025$118.5M–$128.5M Raised vs Q1 midpoint
Non-GAAP Gross Margin %Q1 202569% ±1%
Non-GAAP Gross Margin %Q2 202569% ±1% Maintained level
Non-GAAP OpEx ($M)Q1 2025$50–$52
Non-GAAP OpEx ($M)Q2 2025$50.5–$52.5 Slightly higher midpoint
Non-GAAP Tax Rate (%)Q1 20255%–6%
Non-GAAP Tax Rate (%)Q2 20255%–6% Maintained
Non-GAAP EPS ($)Q1 2025$0.20–$0.24
Non-GAAP EPS ($)Q2 2025$0.22–$0.26 Raised range
FY 2025 Revenue GrowthFY 2025Low single-digit (Q4 call) “No change” (Q1 Q&A) Maintained narrative

Note: Q1 2025 guidance from prior quarter; Q2 2025 guidance provided in Q1 release and 8-K .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 2024 and Q4 2024)Current Period (Q1 2025)Trend
AI/Technology initiativesStrong attach in servers; >50 FPGAs per rack at OCP; client AI features ramping (Dell XPS); focus on Edge AI stacks/tools Generative AI in datacenter, far-edge AI, AR/VR; continued record design wins; new product revenue strong double-digit growth Improving
Supply chain/tariffs/macroU-shaped recovery expected in 2025; shipping under consumption; book-to-bill trending up; one-time material liability cleaned up in Q4 Limited direct tariff impact expected; proactive mitigation; caution on 2H outlook Cautious
Product performance/mixNew products Nexus/Avant mid-teens mix exit 2024; Avant ramp accelerating; Q3/Q4 margins resilient despite mix New product revenue growing both QoQ and YoY; aiming for high-teens mix in FY25 Improving
Channel inventory & bookingsTarget mid-year 2025 normalization; book-to-bill >1 in late Q4 Normalization may take “a couple of few quarters longer”; still shipping under consumption; bookings improving Normalizing slower
Regional trends (China)Ship-to China/HK larger than local consumption; mix shifting from comms to industrial/auto; share gains vs larger peers China ship-to ~$57M comment (10-Q context); limited tariff exposure by COO and OSAT geography Mixed/stable
Security/PQCPQC highlighted as unique differentiator; Microsoft keynote (Caliptra) and rapid adoption PQC continues as a core growth driver in security sockets Strengthening
R&D executionWorkforce and OpEx reductions; new R&D center in Pune; expansion of tools (Radiant/Propel) Continued disciplined OpEx; investing in engineering/operations projects; capital returns Balanced investment

Management Commentary

  • “Revenue, gross margin, and improved profitability… were all in line with our outlook for the first quarter of 2025.” (CFO) .
  • “Revenue and design win growth are being led by new applications, notably in generative AI in the datacenter… security, including post-quantum cryptography, and far edge AI for lower power applications.” (CEO) .
  • “Communications and Computing delivered its first year-on-year growth in two years. And Industrial and Automotive grew 6% sequentially…” (CEO) .
  • “We continue to expect a U-shaped recovery… Q2 guidance reflects our expectation for steady growth in both revenue and profitability.” (CEO) .
  • “Based on available information, we expect the direct impact of tariffs on our business to be limited, but we are highly aware of potential indirect impacts.” (CFO) .

Q&A Highlights

  • 2025 trajectory: Management reiterated low single-digit FY25 revenue growth and maintained caution due to tariffs; bookings and backlog improving (book-to-bill >1) .
  • Segment dynamics: Client PC decline weighed on Comms & Compute, while server and wireline applications (NICs/switches/security appliances/routers) are strong .
  • Channel inventory: Normalization may take “a couple of few quarters longer” than mid-year, with the company still under-shipping consumption; Lattice-owned inventory fell ~$8M QoQ .
  • Server content: Content gains of ~50% generation-over-generation support secular attach into AI/general-purpose servers .
  • New products: New product growth expected to accelerate into 2026; Avant variants layering into revenue through ’25–’27; Nexus/Avant mix rising .
  • Tariffs exposure: ~80% of revenue outside U.S.; wafer fabs in Taiwan/Korea/Japan and assembly/test in Malaysia/Taiwan; direct U.S. tariff exposure limited .

Estimates Context

  • Q1 2025: Revenue of $120.1M essentially matched consensus ($120.1M*), and non-GAAP EPS of $0.22 was in line with consensus ($0.22083*). Values retrieved from S&P Global. Actuals per earnings release and 8-K .
  • Implications: With estimates largely in line, revisions likely hinge on Q2 guide and narrative (server AI, PQC, bookings up), versus macro/tariff caution and elongated channel normalization .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Margins resilient: Non-GAAP GM held at 69% and EBITDA margin rebounded to 33.4% despite mixed end markets and ongoing inventory digestion, underscoring durability of the model .
  • Sequential growth supported by server AI: Strong server/wireline content and attach, with ~50% content gains gen-over-gen, should underpin Comms & Compute trajectory into 2H as inventory normalizes .
  • PQC/security differentiation: Unique PQC offering and accelerating adoption across Tier-1 OEMs represent a structural competitive edge and potential share gains in networking/security sockets .
  • New product mix shift: Nexus/Avant ramp continues, aiming for high-teens mix in FY25 and accelerating into FY26, supporting margin and ASP uplift over time .
  • Guidance trend constructive: Q2 non-GAAP EPS range ($0.22–$0.26) is higher than Q1 guide, and revenue guide implies steady sequential growth; maintain awareness of potential tariff-induced volatility .
  • Channel inventory: Expect normalization to take longer than previously anticipated; company continues shipping under consumption to reduce disti levels—watch POS/BTB vs reported revenue gap in the near term .
  • Watch catalysts: Continued AI server deployments, PQC wins, and Avant variant rollouts could prompt positive estimate revisions if macro/tariff impacts remain limited and bookings momentum persists .

Additional Q1 2025 Press Releases (Context)

  • Lattice showcased advanced Edge AI and vision solutions at New-Tech 2025 and scheduled/investor events in early May, reinforcing visibility in industrial/automotive and AI ecosystems .