LS
LATTICE SEMICONDUCTOR CORP (LSCC)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 revenue was $120.1M, non-GAAP gross margin 69.0%, and non-GAAP diluted EPS $0.22; adjusted EBITDA margin reached 33.4%, reflecting disciplined OpEx and resilient mix . Versus S&P Global consensus, revenue was essentially in line (120.1M vs 120.1M*) and EPS matched ($0.22 vs $0.22*). Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Management flagged “record level of design wins,” sequential revenue growth, and sustained margin leadership; Communications & Computing delivered its first YoY growth in two years, while Industrial & Automotive grew 6% sequentially .
- Q2 2025 guidance implies steady sequential growth: revenue $118.5M–$128.5M, non-GAAP GM ~69% (+/−1%), OpEx $50.5M–$52.5M, and non-GAAP EPS $0.22–$0.26 (raised vs Q1 guidance) .
- Stock-relevant catalysts: accelerating server AI content and attach in top-10 OEMs, expanding PQC security deployments, and continued new product mix shift (Nexus/Avant) targeting mid-20% growth in 2026; tempered by tariff uncertainty and a longer channel inventory normalization timeline .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- “First quarter of 2025 developed as expected, with sequential revenue growth, a record level of design wins, and a further expansion of our operating margins.” (CEO) .
- Communications & Computing delivered first YoY growth in two years; Industrial & Automotive up 6% sequentially, supported by wireline and factory automation/robotics exposure (prepared remarks) .
- New products revenue continues to grow at strong double-digit rates QoQ and YoY, with a path to “high teens” mix of new product revenue in FY25 (CEO prepared remarks) .
What Went Wrong
- Client PC subsegment dragged Communications & Computing sequentially due to older platforms; server and wireline remained strong (Q&A) .
- Channel inventory normalization will likely take “a couple of few quarters longer” than mid-year target; company continues to ship under consumption to reduce disti levels (CFO, Q&A) .
- Tariffs pose indirect macro risk despite limited expected direct impact given supply chain localization and non-U.S. revenue mix; management remains cautious on 2H outlook (prepared remarks) .
Financial Results
Segment breakdown (Revenue $USD Millions):
KPIs and mix:
Consensus vs Actual (Q1 2025) – S&P Global:
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Guidance Changes
Note: Q1 2025 guidance from prior quarter; Q2 2025 guidance provided in Q1 release and 8-K .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Revenue, gross margin, and improved profitability… were all in line with our outlook for the first quarter of 2025.” (CFO) .
- “Revenue and design win growth are being led by new applications, notably in generative AI in the datacenter… security, including post-quantum cryptography, and far edge AI for lower power applications.” (CEO) .
- “Communications and Computing delivered its first year-on-year growth in two years. And Industrial and Automotive grew 6% sequentially…” (CEO) .
- “We continue to expect a U-shaped recovery… Q2 guidance reflects our expectation for steady growth in both revenue and profitability.” (CEO) .
- “Based on available information, we expect the direct impact of tariffs on our business to be limited, but we are highly aware of potential indirect impacts.” (CFO) .
Q&A Highlights
- 2025 trajectory: Management reiterated low single-digit FY25 revenue growth and maintained caution due to tariffs; bookings and backlog improving (book-to-bill >1) .
- Segment dynamics: Client PC decline weighed on Comms & Compute, while server and wireline applications (NICs/switches/security appliances/routers) are strong .
- Channel inventory: Normalization may take “a couple of few quarters longer” than mid-year, with the company still under-shipping consumption; Lattice-owned inventory fell ~$8M QoQ .
- Server content: Content gains of ~50% generation-over-generation support secular attach into AI/general-purpose servers .
- New products: New product growth expected to accelerate into 2026; Avant variants layering into revenue through ’25–’27; Nexus/Avant mix rising .
- Tariffs exposure: ~80% of revenue outside U.S.; wafer fabs in Taiwan/Korea/Japan and assembly/test in Malaysia/Taiwan; direct U.S. tariff exposure limited .
Estimates Context
- Q1 2025: Revenue of $120.1M essentially matched consensus ($120.1M*), and non-GAAP EPS of $0.22 was in line with consensus ($0.22083*). Values retrieved from S&P Global. Actuals per earnings release and 8-K .
- Implications: With estimates largely in line, revisions likely hinge on Q2 guide and narrative (server AI, PQC, bookings up), versus macro/tariff caution and elongated channel normalization .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Margins resilient: Non-GAAP GM held at 69% and EBITDA margin rebounded to 33.4% despite mixed end markets and ongoing inventory digestion, underscoring durability of the model .
- Sequential growth supported by server AI: Strong server/wireline content and attach, with ~50% content gains gen-over-gen, should underpin Comms & Compute trajectory into 2H as inventory normalizes .
- PQC/security differentiation: Unique PQC offering and accelerating adoption across Tier-1 OEMs represent a structural competitive edge and potential share gains in networking/security sockets .
- New product mix shift: Nexus/Avant ramp continues, aiming for high-teens mix in FY25 and accelerating into FY26, supporting margin and ASP uplift over time .
- Guidance trend constructive: Q2 non-GAAP EPS range ($0.22–$0.26) is higher than Q1 guide, and revenue guide implies steady sequential growth; maintain awareness of potential tariff-induced volatility .
- Channel inventory: Expect normalization to take longer than previously anticipated; company continues shipping under consumption to reduce disti levels—watch POS/BTB vs reported revenue gap in the near term .
- Watch catalysts: Continued AI server deployments, PQC wins, and Avant variant rollouts could prompt positive estimate revisions if macro/tariff impacts remain limited and bookings momentum persists .
Additional Q1 2025 Press Releases (Context)
- Lattice showcased advanced Edge AI and vision solutions at New-Tech 2025 and scheduled/investor events in early May, reinforcing visibility in industrial/automotive and AI ecosystems .